GIM CPPG

Author: Prof. Sebastian Morris
Publisher: Financial Express

Summary

The Indian rupee depreciated by 6% in 2025, breaching the crucial 90-per-dollar mark as the RBI reduced its dollar-selling interventions. With US tariffs hitting exports and the NDF market fueling speculative pressure, economist Sebastian Morris explains why a widening growth gap and structural trade deficits could see the rupee slide further to 93 in early 2026.

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